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Crown Green Handicap

Noel Swift

Team: Carr Mill BDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

662

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

70

Matches Played

28

Wins

42

Losses

40%

Win Rate

7.9

Avg Win Margin

8.9

Avg Loss Margin

19-14

Home Record

9-28

Away Record

77%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
36 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A solid recent sample: 36 of 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins28/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 70 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

7 Jun9 Aug23 May16 Apr6 Aug11 Jun21 Apr1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
53%
score+0.06→contribution+0.02
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.9
score+0.16→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.3
score+0.12→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
670
score-0.33→contribution-0.03
Weighted Score+0.046
Sample Size Confidence
77%(36/41 matches)
Rating1014 → shrunk 1011→ adjusted 661
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)664
Recency Blend40% (36 recent matches)
Final Rating662
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

28W42L70 matches·40% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Carr Mill B2022–2026Division 3, Division 270284240%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Charlie McFarlaneH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Ward HattonA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
8/18/2026Alan KearnsH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/21/2026John PyeH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Gordon LoweH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/16/2026Jim StottH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/10/2026Les TeelingA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Neil SherwoodA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026John PyeA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
4/21/2026Les JonesA21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 3
4/14/2026Frank DennettH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025Dave AthertonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2025Kevin CorriganA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2025Julian CliffeA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2025Ray CharnockH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
7/1/2025Martin JonesH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2025Paul BoltonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 3
6/17/2025Richard MartlandH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2025Phil WatkinsonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2025Dave RobertsH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/27/2025Stanley TaylorA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2025Geoff HoughtonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2025Stuart AinscoughA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
4/29/2025Norman SarbuttsH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2025John McKnightA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 3
8/14/2024Ryan TeelingA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024George MontgomeryH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Roy BryanA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Andrew ValentineH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024John PickavanceA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Jim StottH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
6/12/2024Philip BinghamA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
6/4/2024L JonesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/14/2024Stanley TaylorA21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Dennis MussellA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024Frank DennettH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023D WoodsA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Robert ConnollyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Simon ChurchillA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Greg WinstanleyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023David SwainA4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023D WoodsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Anthony JonesA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Brian LeaA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023Richard MartlandA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Bob AppletonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023Dave RogersA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023David SuttonA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023David ThompsonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Neil FitzsimonA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022Craig BrandH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022Brian EllisA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Gordon LoweH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Mal GradyH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Kevin CorriganH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022M DundenA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/19/2022Michael WhitesideH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Ward HattonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022Ian HewittH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Norman AthertonA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Andy CarrH1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Ian TraverseA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Michael PollockH1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022John CooperA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Colin JonesA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Tony PilkingtonH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/10/2022J HornA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Rob PilkingtonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Joe MonksH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022Ray HeskethA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
WLLLL
Last 1040% win rate↓ declining
WLLLLWWLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ward Hatton0220%8/26/2026
John Pye0220%7/21/2026
Gordon Lowe11250%7/14/2026
Jim Stott11250%6/16/2026
Frank Dennett11250%4/14/2026
Kevin Corrigan11250%8/26/2025
Richard Martland11250%6/17/2025
Stanley Taylor202100%5/27/2025
D Woods11250%8/29/2023
Charlie McFarlane101100%9/1/2026
Biggest Win
Charlie McFarlane (+21)9/1/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Andy Carr (-20)6/21/2022
Best Season
202564% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202314% · 14 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
26% → 54%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
76670 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
28-3942% win rate

By Division

Division 319-17 (53%)
Division 29-25 (26%)
Division 226.5%
9W·25L·34 played
Division 352.8%
19W·17L·36 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

14.0 (70 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026